A recent report from the analysts at Gartner says that enterprise spending will outpace the economy in the coming years. But the big change is that enterprises are no longer investing in the in-house and self-managed hardware and software systems that have typified this market for years. Instead, they are investing in cloud computing solutions, where key IT infrastructure is hosted and managed offsite.
"Organizations are switching from company-owned hardware and software assets to per-use service-based models," Gartner vice president Jim Tully says. "The projected shift to cloud computing, for example, will result in dramatic growth in IT products in some areas and in significant reductions in other areas. In general, assets will be utilized with greater efficiency, and we are assuming that the overall effect on market growth will be neutral. We also recognize that there is considerable upside potential for higher growth."
In many ways, Gartner is just waking up to what much of the IT world has understood for years: Cloud computing is real, it's happening now, and it will transform IT.
One of the concerns with the move to a cloud computing infrastructure is that the IT industry will see a massive reduction in jobs overall. This isn't necessarily true. Instead, what's happening is that many IT-oriented jobs are moving away from non-IT-related enterprises and to hosting companies and others that will serve enterprises. With this shift will come a shift in spending away from software and software licenses and to services.
Not surprisingly, Microsoft is moving its own products to a cloud computing model. It will soon begin offering its Exchange Server email solution and other products as hosted services, providing businesses with migration and interoperability solutions so that they can mix and match their own self-hosted servers with Microsoft's remotely hosted servers. Microsoft calls this approach "Software Plus Services."
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One thing 30 years in the IT industry has taught me is that the more things change, the more they stay the same. Another is that the only memory we seem to access is short-term. Yet another is that techno-marketeers rely on that, so they can put labels like "revolutionary" and "innovative" on platforms, products and services that are mere re-inventions of the wheel ... and often poor copies at that.
A good example is all the buzz about "Cloud Computing" in general and "SaaS" (software as a service) in particular:
http://tinyurl.com/6let8x
Both terms are bogus. The only true cloud computing takes place in aircraft. What they're actually referring to by "the cloud" is a large-scale and often remotely located and managed computing platform. We have had those since the dawn of electronic IT. IBM calls them "mainframes":
http://tinyurl.com/5kdhcb
The only innovation offered by today's cloud crowd is actually more of a speculation, i.e. that server farms can deliver the same solid performance as Big Iron. And even that's not original. Anyone remember Datapoint's ARCnet, or DEC's VAXclusters? Whatever happened to those guys, anyway...?
Bruce Arnold, Web Design Miami Florida
http://www.PervasivePersuasion.com
WebDesignMiami August 25, 2008 (Article Rating: